By Claire AI — TCF Canada Prep Platform Editorial — TCF Canada Specialists
The TCF Canada writing and speaking pools are not rebuilt from scratch every month: a large share of real questions reappear a few months later, and the recurrence follows visible patterns. We compared every real question in our database month by month and used those patterns to build the November 2026 predictions below — with the full methodology published.
📌 What this article contains
⚠️ Read this first: everything below is a probabilistic prediction based on historical data — not actual exam questions. New, unseen questions are very likely to appear in the real exam. The value of these predictions is to practise the most likely task types and themes, not to memorise answers.
These predictions are based on publicly reported and compiled real questions in our database (as of October 2026):
| Module | Data | Time span | Unit of analysis |
|---|---|---|---|
| Writing | 663 real questions | Dec 2024 – Oct 2026 | 221 complete combinations (Task 1+2+3) |
| Speaking | 1,090 real Task 2/3 questions | Jan 2025 – Oct 2026 | Sets (10 scenarios = 5 Task 2 + 5 Task 3) |
We tracked how often each exact "Task 1 + Task 2 + Task 3" text combination reappears across months. Two signals stand out:
| Recurrence signal | All-time | 2026 |
|---|---|---|
| A combination that appears two months in a row continues into a 3rd month | 4/15 ≈ 26.7% | 4/13 ≈ 30.8% |
| A brand-new combination reappears the following month | 14/202 = 6.9% | 12/49 = 24.5% |
In other words: once a combination has appeared two months in a row, it has roughly a one-in-three chance of continuing into a third month — far above the random baseline. And in 2026, brand-new combinations became much more likely to reappear next month (6.9% → 24.5%). These two signals drive the 4 writing predictions below.
Speaking Task 2/3 recycles in sets: one set = 10 scenarios (5 Task 2 interaction prompts + 5 Task 3 opinion questions). We identified 13 recurring sets (9–10 scenarios each, seen at least twice) and measured the gap between consecutive appearances:
| Gap | 1 month | 2 months | 3 months | 5 months | 6 months | 12 months |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Occurrences | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 |
Gaps of 5–6 months are the most common (7/14 = 50%). Among the sets released in October 2026, one returned after a 12-month gap (Oct 2025 → Oct 2026) and another after 5 months (May 2026 → Oct 2026) — the pool keeps recycling. The three sets below all come "due" in November 2026.
October 2026 released 4 complete combinations. Here is our November prediction for each — every set covers all three tasks:
Why we predict it: this combination appeared for the first time in October 2026. In 2026, brand-new combinations reappear the following month at a rate of 24.5% (12/49) — about 3.5× the long-term baseline of 6.9%.
| Task | Predicted prompt | Words |
|---|---|---|
| Task 1 Message | Write a letter to your friend inviting them to take part in a music festival organized in your city. Include the essential details (date, venue, invited artists, etc.). | 60–120 |
| Task 2 Blog / article | On your blog, write about your most recent experience in a restaurant (the place, the dishes, the service, etc.). Describe your experience and explain what you particularly liked. | 120–150 |
| Task 3 Opinion vs opinion | Solo Travel: read two documents (the benefits vs the limits of travelling alone), take a position and argue it. | 120–180 |
Why we predict it: this combination appeared in November 2025, then returned after a 10-month gap and appeared in both September and October 2026. In 2026, combinations seen two months in a row continued into a third month 30.8% of the time.
| Task | Predicted prompt | Words |
|---|---|---|
| Task 1 Message | Write a message to a friend inviting them to a meeting with a writer organized by your city's library. | 60–120 |
| Task 2 Blog / article | Write a blog post describing your experience at the "Taste Week" (La Semaine du Goût) event you participated in. | 120–150 |
| Task 3 Opinion vs opinion | Urban Art or Vandalism? Two documents debate the cultural value of street art vs the cost of cleaning it up — take a position and argue it. | 120–180 |
Why we predict it: same "two-month streak" signal as combination B (Nov 2025 → Sep 2026 → Oct 2026). Its Task 3 theme — video games — already appeared in both September and October 2026.
| Task | Predicted prompt | Words |
|---|---|---|
| Task 1 Message | You are planning to go on vacation with your friends and you have spotted an interesting hotel. Write a message giving them details about this hotel (location, rates, services, etc.) and suggest that they make a reservation. | 60–120 |
| Task 2 Blog / article | You have started a job abroad. Write a message to your friends telling them about this new professional experience and what you liked most about it. | 120–150 |
| Task 3 Opinion vs opinion | Video Games: A Useful or Dangerous Pastime? Two documents weigh the cognitive benefits of gaming against its effects on teenagers. | 120–180 |
Why we predict it: it follows the same "two-month streak" signal (Nov 2025 → Sep 2026 → Oct 2026). Its Task 3 theme — fast food — is one of the most persistent recurring themes right now (Nov 2025, Sep 2026 and Oct 2026).
| Task | Predicted prompt | Words |
|---|---|---|
| Task 1 Message | Your friend Cédric has offered to look after your house and garden while you are on vacation and asks what exactly he needs to do. Write a message giving him instructions on how to take care of your house and garden. | 60–120 |
| Task 2 Letter / article | Write a letter of complaint expressing your dissatisfaction with the services provided by a travel agency following the poor organization of your stay. | 120–150 |
| Task 3 Opinion vs opinion | Fast Food: two documents argue against fast food (ingredients, health) and in favour of it (balanced menu options, convenience, cleanliness) — take a position. | 120–180 |
Speaking predictions are made per set. Each set contains 5 Task 2 interaction scenarios (you ask questions to gather information) and 5 Task 3 opinion questions (you take a position and argue it):
Why we predict it: this set appeared in December 2025, January 2026 and June 2026 (a 5-month gap between the two most recent appearances). With the most common 5–6 month gap, November 2026 is the next high-probability window.
| Type | Scenario / question | Theme |
|---|---|---|
| Task 2 | I'm a Canadian friend you haven't seen for a long time. You ask how I'm doing and about my daily life (job, family and friends, hobbies, etc.). | Everyday life |
| Task 2 | I'm your friend. I have a package to send but I can't take care of it. I ask you for help. You ask me for details to check whether you can handle it (deadline, size of the package, how long it takes, etc.). | Everyday services |
| Task 2 | I'm your friend. I'd like to invite you to celebrate my sister's birthday. You ask me about her so you can choose an appropriate gift (likes, hobbies, personality, etc.). | Social events |
| Task 2 | I am your friend. You want to start a series, but you are indecisive. You are asking me for information to help you make your choice (category, actors, streaming platform, etc.). | Leisure |
| Task 2 | You just moved to Canada. I am your colleague. You want to make new acquaintances and are asking how to proceed (activities, places, outings, etc.). | Immigrant life |
| Task 3 | In your opinion, have books lost their usefulness in today's society? | Culture & Entertainment |
| Task 3 | Is it possible to do without medication today? Why? | Health & Sports |
| Task 3 | Is it easier to adapt to a new country when you are young? What is your opinion? | Immigration & Adaptation |
| Task 3 | In your opinion, do social benefits weaken solidarity among family members? Explain. | Family & Social |
| Task 3 | In your opinion, is it necessary to pursue long studies to succeed in life? | Education |
Why we predict it: this set appeared in full twice — November 2025 and May 2026 — a 6-month gap. Applying the same 6-month gap, the next full reappearance lands exactly on November 2026.
| Type | Scenario / question | Theme |
|---|---|---|
| Task 2 | I am the manager of a restaurant and I am recruiting an employee. You wish to apply and you ask me for information (proposed position, hours, salary, etc.). | Job hunting |
| Task 2 | I am your friend and I have been taking pastry classes for some time. You are interested and you ask me for information (cost, location, recipes learned, etc.). | Classes & hobbies |
| Task 2 | I am an employee at a travel agency. You wish to prepare your vacation and you ask me for information (places to visit, accommodation, cost, etc.). | Travel |
| Task 2 | I work at the reception of a leisure center. You want to sign your child up for a workshop and you ask me for details (hours, prices, activities offered, etc.). | Family activities |
| Task 2 | I am your neighbor, I am looking for someone to help me at home (cleaning, gardening, small jobs, etc.). You are interested and you ask me for information (tasks, rates, hours, etc.). | Neighbourhood services |
| Task 3 | Do you believe that people continue to cook regularly today? Why? | Food & Dining |
| Task 3 | Do you think it is complicated to get used to living in another country? Why? | Immigration & Adaptation |
| Task 3 | Do you trust the information you consult on the web? Why? | Technology & Communication |
| Task 3 | In your opinion, does family occupy the most important place in life? | Family & Social |
| Task 3 | Do you think it is important for girls and boys to receive the same education? Why? | Education |
Why we predict it: this set appeared in full in December 2025 and May 2026 — a 5-month gap. On a 5–6 month cycle, its third appearance was due in October 2026, but it did not show up in the October release. Deferred by one month, November becomes the highest-probability window.
| Type | Scenario / question | Theme |
|---|---|---|
| Task 2 | I work at a bicycle rental shop. You'd like to rent one. You ask me for details (available models, prices, how to use them, etc.). | Rental services |
| Task 2 | I'm your Canadian friend. You've just arrived in my city and you're staying at my place. You'd like to get around town and you ask me about public transport (types, routes, timetables, fares, etc.). | Getting around |
| Task 2 | I'm your French-speaking friend. You have to write an article about a city for a cultural magazine. You're looking for inspiration and you ask me about cities I like (leisure, buildings, transport, etc.). | Culture & cities |
| Task 2 | I'm your friend. I'm organizing a music festival in your city. You want to attend and you ask me for more details (program, times, artists, ticket prices, etc.). | Festivals |
| Task 2 | I am your French teacher. You are going to celebrate the upcoming New Year in Canada and you want to discover their ways of celebrating. You ask me for information to better understand (places, activities, etc.). | New Year traditions |
| Task 3 | What is your opinion on the actions taken in your country to reduce pollution? | Environment & Community |
| Task 3 | In your opinion, does living abroad for many years make you forget your original culture? Explain. | Immigration & Adaptation |
| Task 3 | In your opinion, can video games harm children? Why? | Technology & Communication |
| Task 3 | Is knowing the host country essential for an immigrant? Explain why. | Immigration & Adaptation |
| Task 3 | What do people look for when they choose to live in another country? | Immigration & Adaptation |
Our predictions are published at group level. But some readers ask a finer question: how often does an individual question reappear? We reran the same real-question data (predictions excluded) at the single-question level.
| Writing (single question = one task prompt) | Unique prompts | Seen in ≥2 months | P(next month) all-time | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Task 1 | 143 | 41 (28.7%) | 11.2% | 27.4% |
| Task 2 | 144 | 40 (27.8%) | 10.7% | 25.8% |
| Task 3 | 172 | 30 (17.4%) | 8.8% | 27.4% |
In 2026, an individual writing prompt seen this month reappears next month about 26–27% of the time — almost the same as the 24.5% for brand-new combinations. A case-by-case check adds a direct confirmation: when a writing prompt does return the next month, about 82% of the time it returns with the other two tasks of its combination. In other words, single questions mostly recur when their whole combination continues; repeat gaps cluster at 1–3 months (about 70%).
| Speaking (single question = one scenario / opinion prompt) | Unique prompts | Seen in ≥2 months | P(next month) all-time | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Task 2 scenario | 441 | 89 (20.2%) | 2.8% | 5.3% |
| Task 3 opinion | 424 | 95 (22.4%) | 3.6% | 5.3% |
For speaking, a single prompt reappears the very next month only about 5% of the time. Repeat gaps peak at 3 and 5 months, and gaps of 3 months or more account for about 70% — single questions mostly roll across months rather than concentrate in adjacent ones.
| Gap between repeats (months) | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Task 2 scenarios | 15 | 15 | 20 | 24 | 10 | 2 | 12 | 5 |
| Task 3 opinions | 19 | 15 | 21 | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 5 |
Note: gaps not listed above (4, 9, 10, 11 months and over 12 months) all have zero cases.
Why we still publish predictions by group
Start with what you actually face on exam day: exactly one question per task. Writing Tasks 1–3 are taken together in one 60-minute collective session (on paper, they come on the same livret), and all three must be completed — the official procedure states that a task left unanswered can be graded "A1 not achieved". In speaking you get just one Task 2 scenario and one Task 3 question, and the Task 3 question is chosen by the examiner (une question choisie par l'examinateur). You cannot pick your question — but you can invest your practice in the group that is more likely to appear as a whole.
And the real-question data shows that questions are recycled in whole groups: when individual speaking prompts reappear, 85% (Task 2) / 95% (Task 3) come back alongside exactly the same companion questions; about 82% of returning writing prompts reappear together with the rest of their combination. Single-question odds are low (about 5% for speaking) and noisy, while group-level signals are stable — that is why this article predicts combinations and sets.
Boundaries: these "groups" come from our data observations of recurrence patterns (writing's three mandatory tasks and speaking's examiner-chosen Task 3 question are official format facts). FEI does not publish how its question pool rotates or how questions are drawn; nothing here claims an official set-based test design.
Method note: single questions are deduplicated by the first 100 normalised characters of the prompt. Transcriptions of the same real question vary across sources, so some identical questions are counted twice — the single-question figures above are therefore conservative lower bounds (true recurrence is at least this high).
All 12 writing questions (4 combinations × 3 tasks) and all 30 speaking scenarios (3 sets × 10 questions) are already live on the platform:
Writing practice: open the "By date" view and look for the Nov prediction badge to see the November 2026 predicted combinations (each with Tasks 1–3).
Writing mock test: a "November Prediction" banner sits at the top of the page, clearly stating these are predictions and linking back to this methodology.
Speaking practice: open the "By date" view and look for the Nov prediction badge to see the November 2026 predicted sets (each with 10 scenarios across Tasks 2–3).
Speaking mock test: the same prediction banner appears at the top of the page, with a link back to this article.
One detail: the "Topic" view and the charts in the practice lists count real questions only. Predicted questions appear exclusively in the "By date" view, marked with an amber "Nov prediction" badge, so they can never be confused with real past questions.
Where can I practise these predicted questions?
Go to writing practice or speaking practice, and look for the November 2026 group with the "Nov prediction" badge in the "By date" view. You can also head to the writing mock or speaking mock pages and use the prediction banner at the top.
Will these questions definitely appear in November?
No. These are probabilities: a writing combination seen two months in a row continues into a third month about 26.7% of the time (30.8% in 2026), and brand-new combinations reappear next month 24.5% of the time in 2026; the speaking sets come from 5–6 month recycling gaps. Completely new questions remain very possible — prepare for the skill, not the question.
How should I use these predictions?
Treat each predicted set as a full simulation: write Tasks 1–3 within the word limits and timing, then submit them to our AI writing feedback; for speaking, rehearse the questioning logic of Task 2 and the argument structure of Task 3 against model answers. Hitting a prediction is luck — the ability you build is the score.